Altered Hatching Phenology of Chrysemys picta (Painted Turtles) and Unusual Terrestrial Observations of Chelydra serpentina (Common Snapping Turtles) in Urban Areas in Ontario, Canada
Tharusha Wijewardena1,2,*, Ruth Takayesu3, Maureen Mueller3, Lori Leckie3, Matthew-Connor Fernandes4, Rosalind Murray1,2,5§, and Julia Riley6§
1Centre for Urban Environments, University of Toronto Mississauga, 3359 Mississauga Rd, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada, L5L 1C6. 2Department of Biology, University of Toronto Mississauga, 3359 Mississauga Rd, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada, L5L 1C6. 3Heart Lake Turtle Troopers, Brampton, Ontario, Canada, L6Z 0B3. 4Faculty of Liberal Arts and Professional Studies, York University, 4700 Keele St, North York, Ontario, Canada, M3J1P3. 5Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto, 25 Willcocks St, Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5S 3B2. 6Department of Biology, Mount Allison University, 62A York St, Sackville, New Brunswick, Canada, E4L 1C6. §Authors contributed equally.*Corresponding author.
Urban Naturalist, No. 85 (2026)
Abstract
Urbanization and climate change can alter the phenology of freshwater turtles, whose life histories are strongly tied to seasonal temperatures. In cold climates, the severity and duration of winter conditions make emergence and overwintering challenging for freshwater turtles. In Canada, Chrysemys picta (Painted Turtles) can either emerge from nests in the autumn, or in the following spring if they overwinter terrestrially, while Chelydra serpentina (Common Snapping Turtles) emerge from nests in the autumn and overwinter in thermally stable aquatic habitats. Emergence or overland movement during winter is atypical and often fatal. Through community science programs (2021–2024), we documented unusual winter nest emergences of Painted Turtle hatchlings, and atypical overland movements of Common Snapping Turtle hatchlings, in urban southern Ontario, Canada. These events coincided with warmer winter temperatures, rainfall, and reduced snowfall, which are conditions associated with climate change and urban heat islands. Although Painted Turtles have physiological adaptations such as supercooling and freeze tolerance, frequent freeze-thaw cycles could undermine successful overwintering. In contrast, Common Snapping Turtles cannot survive terrestrial subzero temperatures. Our observations suggest a mismatch between environmental cues and optimal emergence timing, highlighting the need for studying variation in nest emergence and overwintering behavior under altered thermal regimes.
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Urban Naturalist
Urban Naturalist
Tharusha Wijewardena et al.
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1
2026 Urban Naturalist 85:1–17
Altered Hatching Phenology of Chrysemys picta (Painted
Turtles) and Unusual Terrestrial Observations of Chelydra
serpentina (Common Snapping Turtles) in Urban Areas in
Ontario, Canada
Tharusha Wijewardena1,2,*, Ruth Takayesu3, Maureen Mueller3, Lori Leckie3,
Matthew-Connor Fernandes4, Rosalind Murray1,2,5§, and Julia Riley6§
Abstract - Urbanization and climate change can alter the phenology of freshwater turtles, whose
life histories are strongly tied to seasonal temperatures. In cold climates, the severity and duration of
winter conditions make emergence and overwintering challenging for freshwater turtles. In Canada,
Chrysemys picta (Painted Turtles) can either emerge from nests in the autumn, or in the following
spring if they overwinter terrestrially, while Chelydra serpentina (Common Snapping Turtles)
emerge from nests in the autumn and overwinter in thermally stable aquatic habitats. Emergence or
overland movement during winter is atypical and often fatal. Through community science programs
(2021–2024), we documented unusual winter nest emergences of Painted Turtle hatchlings, and atypical
overland movements of Common Snapping Turtle hatchlings, in urban southern Ontario, Canada.
These events coincided with warmer winter temperatures, rainfall, and reduced snowfall, which are
conditions associated with climate change and urban heat islands. Although Painted Turtles have
physiological adaptations such as supercooling and freeze tolerance, frequent freeze-thaw cycles
could undermine successful overwintering. In contrast, Common Snapping Turtles cannot survive
terrestrial subzero temperatures. Our observations suggest a mismatch between environmental cues
and optimal emergence timing, highlighting the need for studying variation in nest emergence and
overwintering behavior under altered thermal regimes.
Introduction
Anthropogenic drivers, including urbanization and climate change, can alter local
climatic conditions (e.g., temperature and precipitation), causing additive or interactive
effects (Chapman et al. 2017, Qian et al. 2022) that influence wildlife (Johnson and
Munshi-South 2017, Mawdsley et al. 2009, Urban et al. 2024). Known effects can include
shifting population sizes and structures, changes to range limits, and altered breeding
and hibernating cycles (Araújo et al. 2006, Elmberg et al. 2024, Lowe 2012, Roberts et
al. 2023, Santoro et al. 2023). Ectothermic herpetofauna are sensitive to these effects because
their life histories are strongly tied to seasonal thermal conditions (Mi et al. 2022,
Santoro et al. 2023). For example, many turtle species have temperature-dependent sex
1Centre for Urban Environments, University of Toronto Mississauga, 3359 Mississauga Rd, Mississauga,
Ontario, Canada, L5L 1C6. 2Department of Biology, University of Toronto Mississauga,
3359 Mississauga Rd, Mississauga, Ontario, Canada, L5L 1C6. 3Heart Lake Turtle Troopers,
Brampton, Ontario, Canada, L6Z 0B3, heartlaketurtletroopers@gmail.com. 4Faculty of Liberal
Arts and Professional Studies, York University, 4700 Keele St, North York, Ontario, Canada, M3J
1P3. 5Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto, 25 Willcocks St,
Toronto, Ontario, Canada, M5S 3B2. 6Department of Biology, Mount Allison University, 62A York
St, Sackville, New Brunswick, Canada, E4L 1C6. §Authors contributed equally. *Corresponding
author: tharusha.wijewardena@gmail.com.
Associate Editor: Travis Ryan, Butler University.
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determination (Ernst and Lovich 2009). Therefore, warming temperatures and greater
thermal fluctuations associated with urban heat islands (Tam et al. 2015) or climate change
could alter offspring sex ratios (Janzen 1994, Roberts et al. 2023, Valenzuela et al. 2019).
Biased sex ratios can be problematic for long-term population viability because they can
limit mate encounter rates and decrease reproductive success (reviewed in Kappeler et al.
2023). Geographical and elevational range shifts are also predicted worldwide in response
to urbanization (Johnson and Munshi-South 2017) and climate change (Duan et al. 2016,
Forero-Medina et al. 2011, Jiang et al. 2023), which might result in herpetofauna occupying
unfavourable habitats. Other examples of predicted climate change impacts include
shifts in breeding and hibernating cycles in temperate snakes and frogs (Todd et al. 2011,
Turner and Maclean 2022), which could lead to problematic outcomes in terms of predatorprey
interactions, breeding phenology, and survival. Overall, anthropogenic drivers that
cause warmer environments (e.g., climate change and urban heat island) are likely to have
long-lasting impacts on herpetofauna.
Within herpetofauna, freshwater turtles typically display high adult survival but low egg
and hatchling survival (Congdon et al. 1987, Ernst and Lovich 2009). Yet, shifts in temperature
regimes can impose challenges to the early life stages of turtles, especially during winter
(Butler 2019, Gibbons et al. 2000, Stanford et al. 2020). Freshwater turtles living in cold
climates that experience winters with extended periods (several months) of subzero temperatures
display inter- and intra-specific variation in emergence timing and overwintering
strategies (Gibbons 2013; Lovich et al. 2014; Riley et al. 2014, 2020). Hatchlings of several
freshwater turtle species like Chrysemys picta Schneider (Painted Turtles) and Graptemys
geographica LeSueur (Northern Map Turtles) spend the first winter of their life in underground
nest chambers, surviving freezing temperatures through physiological means, such
as supercooling and freeze tolerance (Baker et al. 2003, Gibbons 2013). However, in other
species (e.g., Chelydra serpentina L. (Common Snapping Turtle), hatchlings exit the nest in
the fall and enter an aquatic environment that remains above freezing throughout the winter
(Costanzo et al. 1995, Gibbons 2013). There are also documented instances of hatchlings
leaving the nest but overwintering on land before entering an aquatic habitat in the spring
(e.g., Emydoidea blandingii Holbrook (Blanding’s Turtle), Paterson et al. 2012). Thus,
freshwater turtles in cold climates display remarkable variation in early life overwintering
strategies via nest emergence timing (Ultsch 2006).
Given such variations in emergence timing, the cues that trigger the hatchling emergence
of freshwater turtles have been an area of active research (Doody 2011; Murphy et
al. 2020; Riley et al. 2014, 2020). Decades of research suggest abiotic factors (such as
temperature and rainfall; DePari 1996, Santoro et al. 2023) and biotic factors (such as embryo-
embryo communication) might trigger hatchling emergence (Doody et al. 2012). For
freshwater turtles inhabiting northern range limits, ensuring optimal timing of hatchling
emergence is critical to maximize their survival and avoid dangerous climatic conditions
(e.g., freezing winter temperatures). Although the exact mechanism of how abiotic factors
trigger hatchling emergence is unknown, presumably hatchlings display emergence strategies
that maximize their fitness.
Among urban freshwater turtles, Painted Turtles are the most widespread native turtle
in Canada and can be found in a wide variety of freshwater habitats including wetlands,
creeks, rivers, and lakes (Ernst and Lovich 2009). These turtles are listed as ‘Special Concern’
(COSEWIC 2018) by the Committee on the Status of Endangered Wildlife in Canada
(COSEWIC). Across their range, Painted Turtles typically have an incubation period of
65–90 days, after which hatchlings emerge from their nests (Ernst and Lovich 2009).
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Hatchlings can either emerge in the fall or the following spring (Lovich et al. 2014, Riley
et al. 2014). Any emergences outside of these months are considered atypical, because the
temperature is often below 0 °C and may result in mortality of hatchlings (Costanzo et
al. 2008). Hatchlings overwinter in terrestrial nest cavities that are up to 10 cm deep and
are exposed to subzero temperatures (-5 °C to -11 °C) throughout winter (Costanzo et al.
2008, Riley et al. 2014). Painted Turtle hatchlings have a remarkable physiological ability
to overcome freezing temperatures through freeze tolerance or supercooling, depending
on the microenvironmental conditions of the nest (Costanzo et al. 2008). Supercooling
occurs when hatchlings maintain body fluids in liquid state, even if the body temperature
drops below the freezing point of the tissue, which is approximately -0.6 °C in Painted
Turtles (Costanzo and Lee 2013). These hatchlings are also able to tolerate freezing of
their tissues down to -4 °C (Costanzo et al. 2000a). Thus, supercooling is effective for
surviving occasional extreme cold conditions (-15 °C to -20 °C) during winter. However,
soil composition could create ice nucleating agents that trigger freezing and potentially
limit the supercooling ability of hatchlings (Costanzo et al. 2000b). Lab-based studies have
demonstrated that hatchling Painted Turtles can exhibit occasional movements of head and
limbs even at temperatures as low as -10 °C (Costanzo et al. 1999), further underscoring
their physiological plasticity. The cold hardiness of Painted Turtles is an active area of
research, and it is currently unknown whether hatchlings can switch between either strategy
(i.e., supercooling vs. freeze-tolerance) multiple times during a single winter. These
limitations highlight how freeze-thaw cycles during winter due to urban heat islands and
climate change could impact turtle survival.
Another commonly found urban freshwater turtle is the Common Snapping Turtle.
They are the largest freshwater turtle in Canada and occupy a wide range of habitats including
ponds, wetlands, sloughs, river edges, and slow streams (Ernst and Lovich 2009).
In Canada, they are listed as ‘Special Concern’ (COSEWIC 2008) by COSEWIC. Their
overwintering habitats include spring seeps and shallow waters (Ultsch et al. 2007). Importantly,
Common Snapping Turtles do not have similar physiological abilities to Painted
Turtles to survive subzero temperatures (Costanzo et al. 2008). Most hatchlings are assumed
to overwinter aquatically once they emerge from nests in the autumn, but some
may spend extended periods of time on land before entering the water (Ernst and Lovich
2009, Ultsch et al. 2007). Some hatchlings may even move between aquatic and terrestrial
systems but typically arrive and remain at their overwintering sites by November (Ultsch
et al. 2007). A lab-based study showed that hatchlings sometimes exhibit spontaneous
locomotor activity when chilled but die by freezing within 20–40 minutes (Costanzo et
al. 1999), potentially highlighting the need to find stable aquatic overwintering conditions
as fast as possible, or risk mortality. Currently, we have a very limited understanding of
post-emergence behavior of Common Snapping Turtles, especially in their northern range
margin. It is not surprising that observations of Common Snapping Turtle hatchlings above
ground during winter have not been previously documented in Canada.
Ongoing global climate change reduces the predictability of weather conditions, thereby
making it more difficult for animals, including turtles (Janzen et al. 2018), to engage
in behaviors that optimize fitness (reviewed in Williams et al. 2015). Notably, temperate
regions are predicted to have both warmer winters and larger variations in weather patterns,
resulting in increased incidences of freeze-thaw cycles (e.g., winter weather whiplash;
Francis et al. 2022). These impacts of climate change are not uniform across all land
use types; there is a pattern across an urban-rural gradient, with urban areas experiencing
greater temperature increases due to urban heat island effects, which consequently amUrban
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plify climate change impacts (Chapman et al. 2017, Wang et al. 2016). For example, the
average global temperature was 1.1 °C higher in 2011–2020 compared to pre-industrial
(1850–1900) levels (IPCC 2023), and urban heat islands can increase daytime temperature
in cities by 2–7 °C, depending on the region (Peng et al. 2012). Although the impact of
climate change on hatching phenology of turtles in urban areas is not well understood, field
observations suggest that hatchlings in urban areas could experience a mismatch between
environmental cues and optimal emergence timing. Such mismatches could result in turtle
hatchlings exhibiting novel or unusual behaviors that lead to detrimental fitness consequences
(Warner 2014), such as early emergence during a temporary winter thaw event
misinterpreted by hatchlings as the spring.
We describe unusual emergence patterns of Painted Turtle hatchlings and unusual
terrestrial movement of Common Snapping Turtle hatchlings during winter within urban
areas in southern Ontario, Canada. The winter temperatures in this region historically remained
below zero from December to March, however, in recent years, temperatures have
begun to fluctuate above zero during winter (Environment and Climate Change Canada
2025). Hatchling observations were made by well-established community science volunteers
in the region, who conduct routine annual monitoring of the local freshwater turtle
populations. We hypothesized that non-typical hatchling emergence and terrestrial movements
during the winter months were a result of unusually warm weather and changes in
precipitation patterns. We predicted that hatchling emergences and overland observations
coincide with extremes in temperature and rainfall (i.e., warm temperatures caused a melt
event and/or rain that flooded nests). Herein, we explore unprecedented reports of turtle
hatchlings in Ontario during winter (December–March) and qualitatively assess trends in
weather to explore our hypothesis and predictions (i.e., the potential relationship between
unusual hatchling behaviors and environmental variables).
Materials and Methods
Study areas
Our main study areas included Heart Lake Conservation Area, Donnelly East Park, and
Etobicoke Creek Trail in Brampton, Ontario, Canada (Fig. 1). Each of these 3 sites was
routinely monitored for turtle nest activity (see below). These sites are all surrounded by
residential and commercial properties, but also include highly fragmented forest patches,
ponds, and a network of major roads and highways. Heart Lake Conservation Area is ~170
ha in size and hosts several recreational activities, including fishing, treetop trekking,
canoeing, hiking, picnics, and day camping that occur from spring to fall (Heart Lake
Conservation Area Master Plan Advisory Committee 2006). Donnelly East Park is ~6 ha
in size and common recreational activities within the parkland include baseball games and
dog-walking (Pacer 2023). Etobicoke Creek Trail is ~14.5 km in length and includes a mix
of urban and natural areas (Ontario Trails Council 2024). Recreational activities in the
area include hiking, fishing, and mountain biking. Outside of these routinely monitored
areas, we also collected data from nearby municipalities (Toronto, Halton Hills, and Erin),
where there were reported opportunistic sightings of turtles in parks and other public
properties during winter (Fig. 1).
Survey protocol
Heart Lake Conservation Area, Donnelly East Park, and part of Etobicoke Creek Trail
(~7 km) have been routinely monitored for nesting freshwater turtles since 2021, as part of a
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turtle nest protection program led by a volunteer community science group (Heart Lake Turtle
Troopers). Survey efforts are high (i.e., daily surveys) during nesting season and hatchling
emergence. Volunteers conduct surveys in the early morning and evening by searching for
nesting turtles and turtle nests in the area. Once a nesting turtle is observed, volunteers maintain
a safe distance from the turtle (> 5 m) and monitor the turtle until nesting is completed.
Within 24–48 hours of oviposition, volunteers place a nest protection box (60x60 cm with 4
exit holes; steel mesh diameter = 1.3 cm) over the nest using 30-cm nails to protect eggs from
predators. Typical mammalian predators of turtle eggs in surveyed areas include Canis latrans
Say (Coyote), Neogale vison von Schreber (American Mink), Procyon lotor L. (Raccoon), and
Vulpes vulpes L. (Red Fox). Nest protectors were also placed on suspected nests after carefully
digging the nest for confirmation of eggs. Nests that were in vulnerable locations (e.g.,
roadside, private properties) were excavated and sent to Scales Nature Park in Oro-Medonte,
Ontario, Canada. During winter (i.e., the period when precipitation is expected to be snow
and temperatures are consistently below zero; December-March), nest protectors were removed
by volunteers if they impeded snow removal by city staff. These nest protectors were
reinstalled in spring following the final snow melt (typically in early-mid April) to ensure
maximum protection for the hatchlings. During winter, monitoring occurs less frequently, but
volunteers typically visit sites at least once a week to ensure nests are safe from predators and
anthropogenic disturbances. During the winter months, volunteers continue to observe and
record data on nest conditions and the emergence of hatchlings.
Figure 1. Locations of unusual winter emergences of Chrysemys picta (Painted Turtles) and unusual
overland observations of Chelydra serpentina (Common Snapping Turtles) during winters
2022–2024 in Ontario, Canada. Gridded blue circle indicates areas that are routinely monitored
by Heart Lake Turtle Troopers in Brampton. Solid blue circles indicate opportunistic sightings by
volunteers. Grey parachute indicates location of the weather station. Solid black lines indicate lower
municipalities in Ontario.
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Climate data
We extracted daily weather data from 2013 to 2024 from the Government of Canada
website (https://climate-change.canada.ca/climate-data/#/daily-climate-data; ClimateID
6158731). Weather data including location, mean daily temperature (°C), total daily rainfall
(mm), and total daily snow (mm) were obtained from the weather station at the Toronto
Pearson International Airport. We classified records from 1 November 2013 to 31 March
2022 as historic, as prior climate data was unavailable from this station, and calculated the
mean for each metric. Then, we obtained the same weather metrics separately for 2022/2023
and 2023/2024 winters. We used R (R Core Team 2021) and ‘ggplot2’ package (Wickham
2016) to generate means for historic data and associated figures. We did not conduct any
statistical analyses due to the small sample size of Painted Turtle (n = 5) and Common Snapping
Turtle (n = 3) observations and the lack of systematic survey effort in all study areas.
Results
Observed nests
Since 2021, Heart Lake Turtle Troopers have protected Painted Turtle and Common
Snapping Turtle nests in 3 urban parks in Brampton, Ontario, Canada. Similar to emergence
patterns observed in other areas of southern Ontario, Painted Turtle hatchlings in
Brampton either emerge in the autumn or spend winter in underground nest cavities and
emerge from early April onwards (Table 1). In the winter of 2021/2022, volunteers observed
typical emergence patterns in Painted Turtle hatchlings (Table 1), whereas in the
winters of 2022/2023 and 2023/2024, they observed unusual emergence patterns and unusual
overland movements (Table 2).
Summer 2022. From 21 May 2022 to 5 July 2022, volunteers installed nest protectors
on 63 Painted Turtle nests in Brampton. They excavated eggs from 21 Painted Turtles nests
due to risk to the nests (see risks outlined in the Materials and Methods) and sent them for
artificial incubation between May and July. In Painted Turtles, emergence holes were observed
in 15 nests in April and 11 additional nests in May.
Summer 2023. From 29 May 2023 to 7 July 2023, volunteers installed nest protectors on
89 Painted Turtle nests. Due to potential risks to the nests, eggs from 37 Painted Turtle nests
were excavated and sent to Scales Nature Park for artificial incubation between June and
early August. Of the remaining Painted Turtle nests, emergence holes and eggshells were
observed within 2 nests in September and 2 nests in October, indicating natural emergence.
Unusual emergence patterns and terrestrial movements of Painted Turtles
During the 2022/2023 winter, volunteers observed emergence holes in 1 Painted Turtle
nest in January, and 3 additional Painted Turtle nests in February in routinely monitored areas.
However, no hatchlings were observed in the immediate vicinity. Given that volunteers
routinely monitor these areas, it is unlikely that emergence holes appeared in the autumn
and were missed. Thus, we presume that approximately 6% (n = 4/68) of Painted Turtle
nests in Brampton showed atypical emergence patterns based on emergence holes.
During the 2023/2024 winter, a volunteer observed a Painted Turtle hatchling near a nest
protector in a routinely monitored area in Brampton in late December (Table 2). Then, in
January, another volunteer hiking in the area opportunistically observed at least 7 Painted
Turtle hatchlings in the Terra Cotta Conservation Area in Halton Hills. Although there was
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no nest protector in this area, given the number of hatchlings observed, we considered that
these hatchlings emerged from a nearby nest. In early March, hatchlings were observed
on land near 3 additional nests in routinely monitored areas in Brampton (Table 2). On all
occasions, the hatchlings were found to be cold and lethargic (Fig. 2). Thus, volunteers
provided warmth to the hatchlings by holding them in their hands, and once their condition
improved, the volunteers released the hatchlings into the nearest wetland. As the season
progressed, emergence holes were observed in 8 additional Painted Turtle nests in March,
and 4 of these nests also still had hatchlings within them. Thus, in Brampton, about 4% (n =
4/89) of Painted Turtle nests showed unusual emergence patterns, with emergence starting
about a month earlier than expected (i.e., in March vs. April).
In April, emergence holes were observed in 11 nests, and 9 of these nests still held at
least 1 hatchling; hatchlings emerging in April is not unusual in our study site (Table 1).
Hatchlings were allowed to leave the nest on their own timing, but if the risk to the hatchling
increased (e.g., cold spells, desiccation, predation), volunteers released the hatchling
to the nearest wetland. Given that hatchlings did not emerge from 28 nests by mid-May
(the typical start period of next season’s nesting period), volunteers extracted and released
hatchlings following permit guidelines.
Unusual observations of Common Snapping Turtle hatchlings
Common Snapping Turtle hatchlings were observed on land in Erin, Toronto, and
Brampton areas of southern Ontario in December 2022 and 2023 (Table 3). In December
Table 1. Typical nesting and hatchling emergence period of Chrysemys picta (Painted Turtle) and
Chelydra serpentina (Common Snapping Turtles) in Brampton, Ontario, Canada from 2021 to 2024.
Year Species Total number of nests Nesting period Typical hatchling emergence
period
Incubated In the wild Start End Start End
2021 Painted 0 36 25 May
2021
08 Jul
2021
Spring: 13 April 2022 19 May
2022
Snapping 0 34 01 Jun
2021
16 Jul
2021
Fall: 23 Aug 2021 22 Oct
2021
2022 Painted 21 47 21 May
2022
05 Jul
2022
Spring: 4 April 2023 28 May
2023
Snapping 36 37 6 Jun
2022
17 Jul
2022
Fall: 18 Aug 2022 25 Sep
2022
2023 Painted 37 52 29 May
2023
07 Jul
2023
Fall: 12 Sep 2023 15 Oct
2023
Spring: 5 Apr 2023 22 May
2024
Snapping 53 29 03 Jun
2023
09 Jul
2023
Fall: 02 Sep 2023 17 Oct
2023
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2022, 1 hatchling was observed on a paved path near a library in Erin. It is unclear whether
the hatchling emerged from a nearby nest, was on route to water, or returned to land from
water. In December 2023, 1 hatchling was observed on land in a public park in Toronto,
and another hatchling was observed near a trail path in Brampton. However, the volunteers
were unable to locate the nests. Regardless of whether these observations are considered
emergences or overland movements, it is highly unusual to observe hatchlings on land
during winter in southern Ontario.
Temperature and precipitation patterns
During 2022/2023 and 2023/2024 winters, atypical emergence patterns were observed
in Painted Turtle hatchlings. These observations occurred between December and
March, when the historical temperatures were below 0 °C (Fig. 3). With Painted Turtles,
we noticed that temperature fluctuations between 0 °C and 10 °C, total daily rainfall up
to 12 mm, and lack of snowfall coincided with hatchling emergences (Fig. 3). However,
instances of hatchling emergence were not observed with every temperature fluctuation
and rainfall event. Similarly, in Common Snapping Turtle hatchlings, over 5 °C winter
temperatures, rainfall, and lack of snowfall events coincided with overland observations
in December of 2022 and 2023 (Figs. 4A, 4B).
Table 2. Reports of unusual emergence timing of Chrysemys picta (Painted Turtles) in the Peel and
Halton regions of Ontario, Canada during winter of 2023/2024.
Date Location Number observed Habitat description
30 Dec 2023 Esker Trail, Brampton 1 Found in the field near the
nest protector. Hatchling was
very cold but was provided
warmth by a volunteer prior
to release.
5 Feb 2024 Terra Cotta Conservation Area,
Halton Hills
7 Hatchlings were observed
on land and taken to nearby
wetland
3 Mar 2024 Heart Lake Conservation Park,
Brampton
1 A hatchling was observed
in the nest hole. Either the
same hatchling or a different
one emerged from the nest
and remained inside the nest
protector.
10 Mar 2024 Esker Trail, Brampton 11 Two hatchlings were found
near the nest. An additional
9 hatchlings discovered near
the same nest after 3 days and
taken to wetland.
15 Mar 2024 Esker Trail, Brampton 1 One hatchling emerged from
nest and remained inside nest
protector.
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Figure 2. Photographs of hatchling turtles that were observed on land during winter of 2022/2023
and 2023/2024 in Ontario, Canada. A) Chelydra serpentina (Common Snapping Turtle) hatchling
that was observed on land on 31 December 2022 in Erin. B) Common Snapping Turtle hatchling
that was observed on land on 4 December 2023 in the Samuel Smith Park in Toronto. C) Common
Snapping Turtle hatchling that was observed on land on 29 December 2023 at Etobicoke Creek
Trail in Brampton. D) Chrysemys picta (Painted Turtle) hatchling that emerged on 11 March 2024
in Esker Trail of Brampton.
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Discussion
Previous surveys in Brampton, Ontario, indicate that Painted Turtles in this area have
incubation periods and emergence patterns similar to those described in the literature (Table
1). Yet recently (Table 2), atypical patterns of emergence, often sooner than expected in
spring, were observed in ~5% of Painted Turtle nests. Similarly, unusual overland movements
were observed in hatchlings of Painted and Common Snapping turtles during winter,
potentially highlighting the impact that anthropogenic changes such as urbanization and
climate change impose on survival of these ectotherms.
More specifically, in the winters of 2022/2023 and 2023/2024, we observed atypical
emergence patterns in Painted Turtles at our study sites in Brampton and surrounding
regions. We consider these winters to be anomalous compared to historical weather data,
due to temperature spikes, lack of heavy snowfall, and rainfall events from December to
March. Our results provide some support to our hypothesis that the hatchlings emerged
due to unusually warm weather and unexpected rainfall events during winter. However,
similar emergence patterns were not observed at each temperature spike and rainfall
event. It is plausible that hatchlings use multiple cues to emerge from nests, and that
while these abiotic factors (e.g., increase in temperature and rainfall) do play a role in
emergence timing, they are not the only cues that turtles use (Costanzo et al. 2008).
Previous work has shown that factors including temperature, precipitation, and presence
of within-nest predators (e.g., ants or sarcophagid larvae) can cue nest emergence in
hatchlings (Doody 2011, Riley et al. 2014, Santoro et al. 2023), while biological factors
such as an “internal clock” or embryo-embryo communication can also trigger emergence
in some species (Doody et al. 2012, Lindeman 1991). We did not observe ants or
sarcophagid larvae in or near turtle nests, suggesting that these predators are unlikely to
be driving unusual hatchling emergence at our sites, further supporting our hypothesis
that anthropogenic-induced increase in winter temperatures likely contribute to atypi-
Table 3. Reports of unusual overland sightings of Chelydra serpentina (Common Snapping Turtles) in the
Toronto and Peel Regions of Ontario, Canada for 2022/2023 winter.
Date Location Number observed Habitat description
31 Dec 2022 Hillsburgh Library, Erin 1 A hatchling was observed on
a cement path in front of the
library. Hatchling was taken
safely to a nearby wetland.
4 Dec 2023 Colonel Samuel Smith Park,
Toronto
1 A hatchling was observed
on land by a volunteer and
taken to a nearby waterway.
29 Dec 2023 Etobicoke Creek Trail, Brampton 11 Observed by volunteer near
trail path in unmonitored
area. Hatchlings were gone
when observed later. Hatchlings
likely proceeded to a
nearby wetland.
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cal hatchling behavior. However, we acknowledge that our sample size is small and the
survey effort was not uniform across study areas. Thus, our conclusions are preliminary
and require additional research.
Interestingly, in the southern range of many turtle species, hatchling emergence already
occurs over a wide breadth of timing (Ernst and Lovich 2009). For example, in
species with broad range distributions (e.g., Trachemys scripta Thunberg (Pond Slider)),
Figure 3. Comparison of daily climatic trends and unusual emergence patterns of Chrysemys picta
(Painted Turtles) hatchlings in Brampton, Ontario, Canada. Dotted lines refer to unusual emergences
from nests. Climatic data were obtained from a single reference station at the Toronto International
Airport weather station in Ontario, Canada.
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hatchlings emerge during mid-winter in southern geographies like Florida, USA (Aresco
2004). However, this is not the case in our study site, given that winters tend to be long
and harsh with 4–6 months of subzero temperatures and heavy snowfall. Painted Turtles
also have a relatively broad distribution, but in contrast to Pond Sliders, Painted Turtles
in the northern range margin experience stronger selective pressures on overwintering
behavior due to freezing temperatures (Riley et al. 2014). Our current understanding of
Painted Turtle overwintering physiology dictates that hatchlings remain in well-insulated
Figure 4. Comparison of daily climatic trends and unusual terrestrial observations of Chelydra serpentina
(Common Snapping Turtles) hatchlings during winters of 2022/2023 (A) and 2023/2024 (B) in
Toronto and Brampton, Ontario, Canada. Climatic data were obtained from a single reference station
at the Toronto International Airport weather station in Ontario, Canada.
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refugia during winter and are able to survive brief exposure to subzero temperatures
(Costanzo and Lee 2013). Thus, although Painted Turtles possess remarkable physiological
abilities to survive cold conditions in their northern range margins, the current weather
patterns that we now experience in Ontario (e.g., rapid freeze and thaw cycles and lack of
snow), especially in urban areas, are likely to impose physiological constraints on hatchlings,
potentially increasing winter mortality.
Figure 4. Comparison of daily climatic trends and unusual terrestrial observations of Chelydra serpentina
(Common Snapping Turtles) hatchlings during winters of 2022/2023 (A) and 2023/2024 (B) in
Toronto and Brampton, Ontario, Canada. Climatic data were obtained from a single reference station
at the Toronto International Airport weather station in Ontario, Canada.
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In contrast to Painted Turtles, Common Snapping Turtles do not possess supercooling
or freeze tolerance abilities (Costanzo et al. 2008). There is evidence from central Ontario
that a very small percentage of Common Snapping Turtle hatchlings can overwinter
terrestrially in the nest chamber and survive the winter if freezing temperatures do not
occur (Obbard and Brooks 1981). However, it is highly unusual for Common Snapping
Turtle hatchlings to be observed on land in December. With changing climatic conditions,
Common Snapping Turtles may engage more frequently in unusual movement behaviors
throughout winter, which may result in their increased mortality through freezing and
dehydration. In addition, unnecessary terrestrial movements could result in the loss of
energy required by hatchlings to survive the winter, even when they have found stable
aquatic overwintering environments. Thus, if such behaviors become more common, low
recruitment through increased overwintering mortality could slowly impact population
persistence, especially in urban areas.
Overall, our study suggests an expansion in the nest emergence timing for Painted
Turtles and unusual terrestrial behaviors for Common Snapping Turtles in southern
Ontario. It also highlights the importance of recording unusual observations to identify
broader geographical patterns of nest emergences and overwintering behavior of freshwater
turtles. Very little is known about the post-emergence movements of hatchlings, due to
their low survival, technological limitations (e.g., weight of radio-transmitters and short
battery life), and lack of research (Ultsch et al. 2007). We expect that similar patterns of
unusual movement in urban areas are likely to occur throughout the geographic range of
both species. More research on nest emergence timing is required to understand how this
behavior may change in response to urbanization and climate change at species’ northern
range limits. In addition, it is critical to study the survival implications of this novel phenology
because exposure of individuals to the strong selective force of freezing winter
conditions may be increasing.
Acknowledgments
We especially thank the volunteers from Heart Lake Turtle Troopers who conducted routine surveys
of freshwater turtles in Brampton. We also thank volunteers from Erin (Sandi Thomas) and Halton
Hills who submitted additional observations. We are grateful to Scales Nature Park for providing
expertise and guidance to volunteers to protect turtles and nests in southern Ontario. We also thank the
Toronto and Region Conservation Authority for providing access to their sites to conduct monitoring.
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